GGOALVIO

World · ASEAN Club Championship · 8/21/2024, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PSM Makassar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

PSM Makassar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while BG Pathum United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PSM Makassar hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the ASEAN Club Championship, while PSM Makassar holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PSM Makassar

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

PSM Makassar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PSM MakassarDDLWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BG Pathum UnitedWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PSM MakassarBG Pathum United
42.9Attack60.0
71.4Defence53.3
61.9Form53.3
60.3Power57.6
1.49xG1.10
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