PSM Makassarvs
Arema FC
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/13/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arema FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSM Makassar 3-3 Arema FC
Original prediction
Arema FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 35.0% | 31.0% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.6% | 27.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.4% | 41.1% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Arema FC
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Arema FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PSM MakassarLLLLW
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Arema FCWLLWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PSM MakassarArema FC
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power97.0
1.16xG1.68