PSIS Semarangvs
Persiraja Banda Aceh
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSIS Semarang · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSIS Semarang 1-3 Persiraja Banda Aceh
Original prediction
PSIS Semarang
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 62.6% | 49.4% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.4% | 27.2% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 5.97 | 14.9% | 23.5% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
PSIS Semarang
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
PSIS Semarang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60