PSIS Semarangvs
Bekasi City
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSIS Semarang · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSIS Semarang 1-0 Bekasi City
Original prediction
PSIS Semarang
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 63.7% | 50.6% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.4% | 26.0% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 6.06 | 14.9% | 23.4% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
PSIS Semarang
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
PSIS Semarang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80