PSIM Yogyakartavs
PSM Makassar
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/16/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSIM Yogyakarta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSIM Yogyakarta 1-2 PSM Makassar
Original prediction
PSIM Yogyakarta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.8% | 38.4% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 26.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.7% | 35.4% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
PSIM Yogyakarta
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
PSIM Yogyakarta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60