GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Liga 1 · 9/5/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PSIM Yogyakarta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

PSIM Yogyakarta 1-1 Persita

Original prediction

PSIM Yogyakarta

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9945.6%52.8%7.2 pts
Draw3.1728.6%24.1%-4.5 pts
Away3.5325.7%23.0%-2.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

PSIM Yogyakarta

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

PSIM Yogyakarta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PSIM YogyakartaLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PersitaLDLLW

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PSIM YogyakartaPersita
42.2Attack43.1
56.9Defence38.2
44.1Form38.2
49.4Power42.0
1.71xG1.00
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