PSIM Yogyakartavs
Persija
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/10/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persija · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSIM Yogyakarta 0-4 Persija
Original prediction
Persija
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.64 | 19.6% | 26.5% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.5% | 27.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.66 | 54.9% | 45.9% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Persija
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Persija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PSIM YogyakartaLLDLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PersijaWWWWL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PSIM YogyakartaPersija
22.2Attack44.4
55.6Defence88.9
11.1Form100.0
32.9Power83.3
0.97xG1.39