PSGC Ciamisvs
Sumsel United
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 9/19/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sumsel United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSGC Ciamis 2-0 Sumsel United
Original prediction
Sumsel United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 37.6% | 32.4% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.3% | 28.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.1% | 39.1% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Sumsel United
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Sumsel United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40