PSGC Ciamisvs
Semen Padang
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 9/26/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSGC Ciamis · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSGC Ciamis 0-2 Semen Padang
Original prediction
PSGC Ciamis
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.2% | 37.0% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.0% | 29.0% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 36.8% | 34.0% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
PSGC Ciamis
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
PSGC Ciamis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80