PSG U19vs
Barcelona U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSG U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PSG U19 1-1 Barcelona U19
Original prediction
PSG U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.8% | 46.8% | 10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.2% | 24.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.0% | 28.8% | -10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
PSG U19
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
PSG U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60