Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pardubice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Písek 0-2 Pardubice
Original prediction
Pardubice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.05 | 10.0% | 32.6% | 22.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.28 | 17.1% | 23.7% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.24 | 72.9% | 43.7% | -29.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Pardubice
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Pardubice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PísekLDWWD
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PardubiceLDLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PísekPardubice
100.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence83.3
100.0Form66.7
80.3Power71.2
2.04xG1.75