Písekvs
České Budějovice
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 9/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
České Budějovice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Písek 3-2 České Budějovice
Original prediction
České Budějovice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.0% | 34.8% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 26.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.8% | 38.8% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
České Budějovice
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
České Budějovice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20