GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 8/2/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Prykarpattia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Prykarpattia are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Karpaty are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Prykarpattia hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Cup, while Prykarpattia holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Prykarpattia

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Prykarpattia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PrykarpattiaDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
KarpatyWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
PrykarpattiaKarpaty
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power23.7
1.67xG1.10
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