GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paranaense - 3 · 9/8/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Prudentópolis are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Araucária are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Araucária hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Paranaense - 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PrudentópolisLDL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.33/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
AraucáriaWW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
PrudentópolisAraucária
16.7Attack29.2
54.2Defence62.5
25.0Form33.3
35.4Power43.9
0.72xG0.83
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