Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tersana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Proxy 0-0 Tersana, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Proxy 2-0 Tersana
Original prediction
Tersana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 29.9% | 29.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.54 | 35.5% | 32.1% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.5% | 38.4% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Proxy 0–0 Tersana
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Tersana
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Tersana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ProxyLLWWD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TersanaDWDDD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ProxyTersana
0.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form66.7
16.3Power64.8
0.78xG1.08