Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Proxy are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pharco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pharco hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the Second League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
17.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80