GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Provincial are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while SAT Moreno are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 46.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

80.6%

Model confidence

19.8%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ProvincialLLDLD

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SAT MorenoWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ProvincialSAT Moreno
23.3Attack50.0
26.7Defence86.7
23.3Form80.0
26.7Power72.9
0.33xG2.25
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