GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/13/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Provincial are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SAT Moreno are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 46.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.7% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

78.7%

Model confidence

78.7%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ProvincialDWWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SAT MorenoWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ProvincialSAT Moreno
23.3Attack50.0
26.7Defence86.7
23.3Form80.0
26.7Power72.9
0.33xG2.25
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