ProvincialvsNautico Hacoaj

Provincial are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Hacoaj hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.4% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Nautico Hacoaj holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.