ProvincialvsNautico Hacoaj

Provincial are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Hacoaj hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Nautico Hacoaj holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.