GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/9/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nautico Hacoaj · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Provincial are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Hacoaj hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Nautico Hacoaj holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nautico Hacoaj

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Nautico Hacoaj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ProvincialLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Nautico HacoajLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
ProvincialNautico Hacoaj
23.3Attack33.3
26.7Defence84.8
23.3Form54.5
26.7Power58.9
0.34xG1.44
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