GGOALVIO

Provincial logoProvincialvsJuventud de Bernal logoJuventud de Bernal

SCHEDULED

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/5/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Provincial · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Provincial are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Juventud de Bernal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 15.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, favouring Provincial with 14.3% confidence, a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Provincial

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

14.3%

Provincial has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ProvincialLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Juventud de BernalLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ProvincialJuventud de Bernal
25.9Attack14.8
37.0Defence3.7
25.9Form11.1
31.3Power15.7
1.28xG0.83
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