Provincialvs
Juventud de Bernal
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/3/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Provincial · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Provincial are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Juventud de Bernal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 18.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Provincial holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Provincial
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Provincial has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40