ProvincialvsEstrella de Berisso

Provincial are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DWLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Estrella de Berisso are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (DWWD), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella de Berisso hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.7% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Estrella de Berisso holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.