Torneo Promocional AmateurTorneo Promocional Amateur
Saturday, 25 July 202619:30Updated today
Provincial

Provincial

Home
W
vs
19:30
Deportivo Metalurgico

Deportivo Metalurgico

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
53% confidence
Deportivo Metalurgico(53%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Provincial
20%
Draw
27%
Deportivo Metalurgico
53%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Provincial
99
Deportivo Metalurgico
100
Defence
Provincial
91
Deportivo Metalurgico
66
Momentum
Provincial
100
Deportivo Metalurgico
100
Danger (xG)
Provincial
3.60
Deportivo Metalurgico
4.50
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Provincial)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (Deportivo Metalurgico)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Provincial)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Metalurgico)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ProvincialProvincial
W
Deportivo MetalurgicoDeportivo Metalurgico
W

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
Provincial20%
Draw27%
Deportivo Metalurgico53%

Deportivo Metalurgico leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Provincial head into this in Torneo Promocional Amateur fixture in mixed form (W), while Deportivo Metalurgico arrive in mixed form (W). Provincial have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Deportivo Metalurgico over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Provincial (91/100) and Deportivo Metalurgico (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Provincial have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Deportivo Metalurgico have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 5.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Provincial and Deportivo Metalurgico in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Deportivo Metalurgico to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Provincial 1996%, Draw 2717%, Deportivo Metalurgico 5287%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Provincial

Provincial

W
@ Juventud de Bernal
14 Jul 2026
40
Deportivo Metalurgico

Deportivo Metalurgico

W
@ Juventud de Bernal
29 Jun 2026
51

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico?

GoalVio's model predicts Deportivo Metalurgico to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more