GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/30/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Metalurgico · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Provincial are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Metalurgico are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Metalurgico hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Deportivo Metalurgico holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Metalurgico

Probability

83.1%

Model confidence

83.1%

Deportivo Metalurgico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ProvincialLDWLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ProvincialDeportivo Metalurgico
23.3Attack57.6
26.7Defence78.8
23.3Form75.8
26.7Power70.3
0.33xG2.58
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