GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/13/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensores Glew · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Provincial are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensores Glew are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores Glew hold a 45.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Defensores Glew holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensores Glew

Probability

89.0%

Model confidence

89.0%

Defensores Glew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ProvincialDDLDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores GlewDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ProvincialDefensores Glew
23.3Attack80.0
26.7Defence76.7
23.3Form66.7
26.7Power71.6
0.33xG3.22
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