GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/27/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belgrano Zarate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Provincial are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Belgrano Zarate are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Zarate hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Belgrano Zarate holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belgrano Zarate

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Belgrano Zarate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ProvincialDDDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Belgrano ZarateWLDLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ProvincialBelgrano Zarate
23.3Attack25.0
26.7Defence80.6
23.3Form47.2
26.7Power53.5
0.34xG1.06
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