GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/15/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barrancas UMET · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Provincial are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Barrancas UMET are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrancas UMET hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Barrancas UMET holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barrancas UMET

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

65.3%

Barrancas UMET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ProvincialLDWLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Barrancas UMETWWWLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ProvincialBarrancas UMET
23.3Attack35.9
26.7Defence82.1
23.3Form69.2
26.7Power64.6
0.33xG1.58
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