ProvincialvsAtletico Pilar

Provincial are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atletico Pilar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Pilar hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.