GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 6/8/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trasandino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Provincial Ovalle are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Trasandino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Trasandino hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Segunda División, while Trasandino holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trasandino

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

12.7%

Trasandino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Provincial OvalleLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TrasandinoWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Provincial OvalleTrasandino
30.6Attack46.7
33.3Defence57.8
16.7Form48.9
29.8Power52.4
0.77xG1.83
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