GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 4/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santiago City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Provincial Ovalle are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Santiago City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago City hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Segunda División, while Santiago City holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santiago City

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

11.4%

Santiago City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Provincial OvalleLLLWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Santiago CityWDDWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Provincial OvalleSantiago City
30.6Attack48.7
33.3Defence51.3
16.7Form59.0
29.8Power55.8
0.88xG1.93
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