Provincial Ovallevs
Real San Joaquín
SCHEDULEDChile · Segunda División · 8/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real San Joaquín · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Provincial Ovalle are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Real San Joaquín are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and real San Joaquín hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Segunda División, favouring Real San Joaquín with 12.6% confidence, a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real San Joaquín
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
12.6%
Real San Joaquín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00