Provincial Ovallevs
Real San Joaquín
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 6/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real San Joaquín · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Provincial Ovalle are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real San Joaquín are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Real San Joaquín hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Segunda División, while Real San Joaquín holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real San Joaquín
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
12.3%
Real San Joaquín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80