GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 6/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real San Joaquín · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Provincial Ovalle are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real San Joaquín are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Real San Joaquín hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Segunda División, while Real San Joaquín holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real San Joaquín

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

12.3%

Real San Joaquín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Provincial OvalleDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Real San JoaquínLDLDD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Provincial OvalleReal San Joaquín
30.6Attack46.2
33.3Defence51.3
16.7Form35.9
29.8Power44.9
0.91xG1.76
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