GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 3/11/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lautaro de Buin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Provincial Ovalle are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lautaro de Buin are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lautaro de Buin hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Segunda División, while Lautaro de Buin holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lautaro de Buin

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Lautaro de Buin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Provincial OvalleLLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Lautaro de BuinWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Provincial OvalleLautaro de Buin
30.6Attack37.2
33.3Defence33.3
16.7Form34.6
29.8Power38.0
1.27xG1.40
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