Provincial Ovallevs
General Velásquez
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Provincial Ovalle 0-0 General Velásquez, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Provincial Ovalle 1-2 General Velásquez
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 03:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.3% | 33.7% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.3% | 30.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.4% | 35.5% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
Provincial Ovalle 0–0 General Velásquez
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.9%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40