Provincial Ovallevs
Deportes Rengo
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Rengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Provincial Ovalle 0-0 Deportes Rengo, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Provincial Ovalle 1-5 Deportes Rengo
Original prediction
Deportes Rengo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.1% | 33.9% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 29.7% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.4% | 36.4% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Projected Score
Provincial Ovalle 0–0 Deportes Rengo
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Rengo
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Deportes Rengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00