GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concón National · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Provincial Ovalle are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Concón National are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Concón National hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.4% in the Segunda División, while Concón National holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concón National

Probability

63.7%

Model confidence

18.4%

Concón National has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Provincial OvalleWDWDL

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Concón NationalDWWWL

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Provincial OvalleConcón National
30.6Attack41.0
33.3Defence71.8
16.7Form53.8
29.8Power57.3
0.51xG1.63
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