Provincial Ovallevs
Colina
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 9/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Provincial Ovalle 0-1 Colina, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Provincial Ovalle 1-0 Colina
Original prediction
Colina
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.5% | 27.2% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.7% | 29.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.8% | 43.3% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Projected Score
Provincial Ovalle 0–1 Colina
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Colina
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Colina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Provincial OvalleDDLWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ColinaDLLWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Provincial OvalleColina
26.7Attack35.6
42.2Defence62.2
17.8Form28.9
31.7Power43.2
0.63xG1.16