Provincial Osornovs
Trasandino
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Provincial Osorno · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Provincial Osorno 0-0 Trasandino, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Provincial Osorno 2-2 Trasandino
Original prediction
Provincial Osorno
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.9% | 46.6% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 29.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.6% | 23.6% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Projected Score
Provincial Osorno 0–0 Trasandino
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Provincial Osorno
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Provincial Osorno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60