GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Provincial Osorno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Provincial Osorno are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Trasandino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Segunda División, while Provincial Osorno holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Provincial Osorno

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

18.1%

Provincial Osorno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Provincial OsornoWDWDD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TrasandinoLWDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Provincial OsornoTrasandino
41.0Attack46.7
87.2Defence57.8
69.2Form48.9
67.7Power52.4
1.17xG0.63
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