GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 3/9/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Provincial Osorno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Provincial Osorno are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Trasandino are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Segunda División, while Provincial Osorno holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Provincial Osorno

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Provincial Osorno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Provincial OsornoDLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
TrasandinoLD

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Provincial OsornoTrasandino
41.0Attack46.7
87.2Defence57.8
69.2Form48.9
67.7Power52.4
1.17xG0.63
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