GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Provincial Osorno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Provincial Osorno are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Santiago Morning are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.3% in the Segunda División, while Provincial Osorno holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Provincial Osorno

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

24.3%

Provincial Osorno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Provincial OsornoWDDLW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santiago MorningLWLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Provincial OsornoSantiago Morning
41.0Attack28.2
87.2Defence59.0
69.2Form28.2
67.7Power40.9
1.18xG0.37
View match centre →