Provincial Osornovs
Santiago Morning
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Provincial Osorno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Provincial Osorno are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Santiago Morning are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.3% in the Segunda División, while Provincial Osorno holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Provincial Osorno
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
24.3%
Provincial Osorno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60