Provincial Osornovs
Santiago City
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Provincial Osorno · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Provincial Osorno 0-0 Santiago City, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Provincial Osorno 1-2 Santiago City
Original prediction
Provincial Osorno
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.5% | 41.7% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.0% | 30.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.5% | 28.2% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Projected Score
Provincial Osorno 0–0 Santiago City
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Provincial Osorno
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Provincial Osorno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40