GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 5/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Provincial Osorno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Provincial Osorno are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Lota Schwager are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.8% in the Segunda División, while Provincial Osorno holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Provincial Osorno

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

23.8%

Provincial Osorno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Provincial OsornoWDWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Lota SchwagerLWD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Provincial OsornoLota Schwager
41.0Attack35.9
87.2Defence64.1
69.2Form41.0
67.7Power49.1
1.00xG0.48
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