Provincial Osornovs
Linares Unido
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Provincial Osorno · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Provincial Osorno 0-0 Linares Unido, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Provincial Osorno 1-0 Linares Unido
Original prediction
Provincial Osorno
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 03:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.3% | 41.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 29.7% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.5% | 28.5% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Projected Score
Provincial Osorno 0–0 Linares Unido
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Provincial Osorno
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Provincial Osorno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00