Provincial Osornovs
Colchagua
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 4/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Provincial Osorno are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Colchagua are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
26.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20