GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 4/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Provincial Osorno are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Colchagua are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

26.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Provincial OsornoWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ColchaguaWWDLL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Provincial OsornoColchagua
41.0Attack38.5
87.2Defence69.2
69.2Form56.4
67.7Power55.9
0.84xG0.53
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