Prostějovvs
Ústí nad Labem
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · FNL · 10/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ústí nad Labem · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Prostějov 2-2 Ústí nad Labem
Original prediction
Ústí nad Labem
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.3% | 29.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.9% | 28.7% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.8% | 41.5% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Ústí nad Labem
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Ústí nad Labem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60