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Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:03
Prostějov

Prostějov

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W
21
Full time
Floridsdorfer AC

Floridsdorfer AC

Away
LW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Floridsdorfer AC39%
Draw35%
Prostějov26%
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Prostějov
Win probability
Prostějov
26%
Draw
35%
Floridsdorfer AC
39%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Prostějov
73
Floridsdorfer AC
73
Defence
Prostějov
66
Floridsdorfer AC
46
Momentum
Prostějov
100
Floridsdorfer AC
50
Danger (xG)
Prostějov
1.80
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.98 xG for Prostějov and 1.12 xG for Floridsdorfer AC — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Prostějov holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Prostějov's Attack Score (73) exceeds Floridsdorfer AC's Defensive Stability (46), and Floridsdorfer AC's attack (73) similarly tests Prostějov's defence (66). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.10 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Prostějov)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Floridsdorfer AC)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Prostějov)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Floridsdorfer AC)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ProstějovProstějov
WD
Floridsdorfer ACFloridsdorfer AC
LWD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Prostějov26%
Draw35%
Floridsdorfer AC39%

Floridsdorfer AC leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Floridsdorfer AC Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1

Prostějov host Floridsdorfer AC in Friendlies Clubs. Prostějov have recorded LDWWWD in recent matches while Floridsdorfer AC arrive with a run of LLWDWL. These sides have met 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.98 for Prostějov and 1.12 for Floridsdorfer AC. The gap of 0.86 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Prostějov 1Draws 00 Floridsdorfer AC
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Prostějov
W21
Floridsdorfer AC

Recent form

Prostějov

Prostějov

W
vs Floridsdorfer AC
17 Jul 2026
21
D
@ Příbram
16 May 2026
00
Floridsdorfer AC

Floridsdorfer AC

L
@ Prostějov
17 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Leobendorf
10 Jul 2026
31
D
@ Admira Wacker
14 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Prostějov vs Floridsdorfer AC?

GoalVio's model predicts Floridsdorfer AC to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Prostějov vs Floridsdorfer AC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Prostějov vs Floridsdorfer AC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Prostějov vs Floridsdorfer AC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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