Copa RioCopa Rio
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Pérolas Negras

Pérolas Negras

Home
D
00
Full time
CFRJ / Maricá

CFRJ / Maricá

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Pérolas Negras(37%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Pérolas Negras
37%
Draw
35%
CFRJ / Maricá
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Pérolas Negras
9
CFRJ / Maricá
9
Defence
Pérolas Negras
91
CFRJ / Maricá
91
Momentum
Pérolas Negras
33
CFRJ / Maricá
33
Danger (xG)
Pérolas Negras
0.00
CFRJ / Maricá
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Pérolas Negras)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (CFRJ / Maricá)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Pérolas Negras)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (CFRJ / Maricá)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Pérolas NegrasPérolas Negras
DWLD
CFRJ / MaricáCFRJ / Maricá
DDLW

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Pérolas Negras37%
Draw35%
CFRJ / Maricá28%

Pérolas Negras leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Pérolas Negras head into this in Copa Rio fixture in mixed form (D), while CFRJ / Maricá arrive in mixed form (D). Pérolas Negras have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for CFRJ / Maricá over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Pérolas Negras (91/100) and CFRJ / Maricá (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Pérolas Negras have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game at home. CFRJ / Maricá have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Pérolas Negras to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Pérolas Negras 3731%, Draw 3500%, CFRJ / Maricá 2769%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Pérolas Negras 0Draws 10 CFRJ / Maricá
Avg goals: 0.0
15 Jul 2026
Pérolas Negras
D00
CFRJ / Maricá

Recent form

Pérolas Negras

Pérolas Negras

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W
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L
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CFRJ / Maricá

CFRJ / Maricá

D
@ Pérolas Negras
15 Jul 2026
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D
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L
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01
W
vs São Gonçalo EC RJ
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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Pérolas Negras vs CFRJ / Maricá?

GoalVio's model predicts Pérolas Negras to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Pérolas Negras vs CFRJ / Maricá?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Pérolas Negras vs CFRJ / Maricá?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pérolas Negras vs CFRJ / Maricá?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more