GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/18/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pérolas Negras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Pérolas Negras are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while 7 de Abril are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Pérolas Negras hold a 37.7-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 11.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.4% in the Carioca - 2, while Pérolas Negras holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pérolas Negras

Probability

73.4%

Model confidence

73.4%

Pérolas Negras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pérolas NegrasWDL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
7 de AbrilL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Pérolas Negras7 de Abril
42.4Attack18.2
60.6Defence0.0
42.4Form0.0
48.8Power11.0
2.13xG0.45
View match centre →